5
Wins
10
Losses
0
Pending
33.3%
Win Rate
-26%
ROI
-6.6u
Net Units
The United Football League is the most underserved betting market in American football. Thin book coverage, limited public data, and consistent market inefficiencies — exactly where our models find the widest edges.
Every recommendation tracked in real time — wins, losses, units, and ROI. No cherry-picking, no hiding results. Updated weekly.
We analyze every UFL game across gamelines and all available props. Our models run 100K+ Monte Carlo simulations per game, cross-referencing UFL-specific gamescript tendencies, team unit efficiency, and individual player projections — producing probability estimates that consistently diverge from the market.
UFL books have thinner liquidity than NFL or NCAAF, which means lines move faster and stay soft longer. Our CLV-first delivery gets you on the best number before the market reacts.
Every recommendation goes through the same five-step process — from continuous market polling to the moment it ships to you with full rationale, Kelly units, and gamescript survivability score.
We poll sportsbook markets continuously — capturing gamelines, standard props, and alt props as early as possible. Early capture is how we maximize Closing Line Value (CLV): getting you on the best number before the market moves.
We capture at different timing intervals throughout the week — tracking line movement, identifying sharp action, and monitoring when books adjust. Timing is a competitive advantage.
Captured odds run through 1M+ lines of algorithmic code — gamescript, playscript, and player simulations generate model probabilities. Implied probability vs. model probability produces raw edge values across all available UFL markets.
Every qualifying market passes through our full 10-point assessment framework — gamescript survivability, matchup depth, edge threshold, Kelly unit sizing, and a complete 10-point rationale. Only bets that pass all criteria are recommended.
The moment a qualifying recommendation is confirmed, it ships to you with full rationale, Kelly units, and gamescript survivability score. Speed is part of the edge — you get recommendations throughout the week, not just on game day.
No gut feel. No hot takes. Every recommendation is the output of a structured 10-point framework — and ships with a full written rationale so you know exactly why we're backing it.
Determines primary, secondary, and survivor script — how the game is most likely to unfold and which bet types survive each scenario.
Offense, defense, and special teams evaluated as units — strength, matchup fit, recent form, and scheme execution tendencies all quantified.
Individual player projections from 5,000 simulations per player — usage rates, target shares, snap counts, and matchup-adjusted output.
Unit vs. unit and player vs. player — scheme mismatches, personnel groupings, and historical matchup data surfaced and weighted by relevance.
Spreads, totals, and moneylines evaluated against full model probability distributions — not a point estimate but a full outcome curve.
Team-level totals, first-half lines, team scoring props — all priced from playscript simulation output and cross-validated against gamescript scenarios.
Rushing yards, receiving yards, touchdowns, attempts — priced from 5,000 per-player simulations. Standard props and alt lines both evaluated.
Every bet must clear our governance-locked 2.5% minimum edge requirement. No exceptions. No overrides. No gut-feel exemptions.
Every bet is scored for survivability — how robust is this bet if the game goes off-script? Low survivability bets don't make the cut.
Bet units assigned using Kelly Criterion — mathematically optimal staking based on edge magnitude and bankroll management principles.
Before publishing recommendations for 2026, our model was validated across the complete 2025 UFL season. Here's exactly how it performed — no cherry-picking.
Full access for 7 days — complete 10×10 rationale, Kelly units, and gamescript survivability score on every recommendation.
Start Free Trial →